- 浏览: 515351 次
- 性别:
- 来自: 杭州
文章分类
- 全部博客 (114)
- C基础 (1)
- C指针 (0)
- C语言库函数相关 (1)
- Linux (2)
- Linux网络编程 (1)
- PostgreSQL (0)
- Redis (2)
- Java Web (2)
- JAVA基础 (35)
- Ubuntu (8)
- Android (2)
- MySQL (3)
- 日志 (1)
- 书虫 (1)
- 数据结构 (0)
- 算法 (0)
- 开发工具 (1)
- 转载 (13)
- 英语 (18)
- tomcat启动脚本分析 (3)
- Oracle基础 (4)
- tomcat源码分析 (3)
- tomcat (1)
- Java相关 (1)
- Oracle基本原理--Oracle体系结构 (0)
- Oracle基本原理--表 (0)
- Oracle基本原理--索引 (0)
- Oracle基本原理--事务 (0)
- Oracle开发--SQL (1)
- Oracle基本原理--PL/SQL (0)
- Oracle基本原理--常用函数 (0)
- Oralce管理--用户及权限管理 (0)
- Oracle管理--安装调试 (0)
- Oracle管理--备份恢复 (0)
- Oralce管理--数据迁移 (0)
- Oracle管理--闪回 (0)
- Oracle管理--故障处理 (0)
- Oracle优化原理--统计信息 (0)
- Oracle优化原理--执行计划 (0)
- Oracle优化原理--诊断工具 (0)
- Oracle优化原理--深入理解表 (0)
- Oracle优化原理--深入理解索引 (0)
- Oracle优化原理--表连接原理 (0)
- Java--OOP (0)
- Java--异常 (0)
- Java--泛型 (0)
- Java--集合 (0)
- Java--IO (0)
- Java--枚举类型 (0)
- Java--注释 (0)
- Java--多线程 (0)
- Java--XML (0)
- Java--JDBC (3)
- Servlet (0)
- JSP (0)
- JSTL (0)
- 设计模式 (0)
- DAO与MVC (0)
- Javascript (2)
- Ajax (0)
- JQuery (0)
- HTML/CSS (0)
- 前端相关 (1)
- HTTP (0)
- TCP/IP (0)
- GO基础 (0)
最新评论
-
jsonmong:
推荐一个开发平台,采用的是插件化的设计思想,效果很不错的。ht ...
构建Java Web开发环境 -
wxm198427:
首先表示辛苦了!我想问个问题:我的是windows 7 x64 ...
Oracle 11g R2 for Win7旗舰版(64位)的安装步骤 -
握着橄榄枝的人:
我之前按照你的update mysql.user set pa ...
Windows7下MySQL5.5.20免安装版的配置 -
confident_f:
安装了32的客户端后,用plsql导入导出表有问题,生成不了d ...
Oracle 11g R2 for Win7旗舰版(64位)的安装步骤 -
confident_f:
安装数据库的时候第9步卡住了 是怎么回事呢?
Oracle 11g R2 for Win7旗舰版(64位)的安装步骤
It kills me to say this: The dream of Linux as a major desktop OS is now pretty much dead.
Despite phenomenal security and stability--and amazing strides in usability, performance, and compatibility--Linux simply isn’t catching on with desktop users. And if there ever was a chance for desktop Linux to succeed, that ship has long since sunk.
Over the past few years, modern Linux distributions such as Ubuntu have utterly transformed the open-source desktop user experience into something sleek and simple, while arguably surpassing Windows and Mac OS in both security and stability. Meanwhile, the public failure of Windows Vista and the rise of the netbook gave Linux some openings to capture a meaningful slice of the market. But those opportunities have been squandered and lost, and Linux desktop market share remains stagnant at around 1 percent.
I should emphasize that I'm not by any means talking about the demise of Linux itself. New projections from the Linux Foundation credibly show that demand for Linux on servers will outstrip demand for all other options over the next few years. And, as I'll discuss at length in this article, Linux has already established itself as a dominant operating system on mobile and embedded devices ranging from tablets and phones to TVs and printers.
But for anyone who has longed for a future in which free, open-source Linux distributions would rival premium commercial operating systems from Microsoft and Apple on desktop PCs, now might be a good time to set more-realistic expectations. Though I personally wish that the opposite were true, the year of the Linux desktop will never come.
Missed Opportunities
A few years ago, I infamously went on record with the belief that the stage had been set for a significant breakthrough in Linux adoption rates. After all, Ubuntu had created a virtually idiot-proof distribution that was as easy to install as Windows or Mac OS X. Hardware driver support had reached critical mass. Even major PC makers such as Dell had stepped up to offer Linux as a preinstalled option on laptops and desktops.
At the same time, consumer sentiment toward Windows Vista had reached such abysmal depths that users were clamoring for other options. And to sweeten the prospects just a bit more, the emergence of netbooks gave Linux a nearly unchallenged new platform to dominate for months on end. If there was ever a time for Linux to rise up, 2008 was that time. But it wasn't meant to be.
Although Asus managed to spark a massive trend with cheap, simple netbook PCs, it opted to ship systems preinstalled with a Xandros distribution that left a lot to be desired. Other vendors moved just as clumsily with a host of bad options that gave Microsoft room to sweep the market by extending the life of Windows XP. In that one gesture, all hope was lost for Linux's netbook revolution. Meanwhile, desktop users who fled Windows Vista mostly just switched to Macs or reverted to Windows XP.
By the time Microsoft released the Windows 7 beta in January 2009, Linux had clearly lost its chance at desktop glory.
Why Linux Failed on the Desktop
The failure of Linux to catch on with mainstream PC users will come as no great surprise to most observers, but the reasons for its failure are often misunderstood or, at the very least, grossly misstated. Linux didn't fail on the desktop because it's "too geeky," "too hard to use," or "too obscure," as casual detractors so often claim in online forums. On the contrary, the best-known distribution--Ubuntu--has received high marks for usability from every major player in the technology press, and it features a menu layout nearly identical to that of Mac OS X.
Ultimately, Linux is doomed on the desktop because of a critical lack of content. And that lack of content owes its existence to two key factors: the fragmentation of the Linux platform, and the fierce ideology of the open-source community at large.
User expectations have shifted dramatically in the past few years, and it's no longer acceptable for any PC to fail at basic media viewing. DVD playback and video streaming from premium sites such as Netflix are now fundamental capabilities that any computer should have. But the politics of the open-source world make that a nearly hopeless dream for Linux.
"I share the hope with everyone that free and open-source software will rise to meet the requirements of content delivery," says longtime Linux developer Jeff Whatcott, senior vice president of marketing for Brightcove, a company that specializes in online video streaming. "But that's not happening."
"DRM is not popular with the open-source crowd," says Whatcott, lamenting that the open-source community at large remains so steadfastly opposed to digital rights management technologies. Without those systems, commercial content providers have no incentive to embrace Linux. And Whatcott points out that even if the open-source community were willing to go along, the DRM arena is dominated by "deep, deep patent pools," making a free, open-source alternative unlikely anyway.
Meanwhile, even common streaming technologies such as Flash--which Whatcott helped bring to Linux in his previous role as a Macromedia (and later Adobe) product manager--deliver poor results on Linux.
"It wasn't for lack of trying," Whatcott says. "At the time, Macromedia put extensive resources into figuring that out." But despite the hard work of a team of engineers "that loved Linux," the fragmentation of the Linux platform and the hurdles presented by what Whatcott describes as "alpha-quality" drivers for audio and video hardware made success elusive for the Flash development team.
We shouldn't be too hard on Linux, though. After all, there are stark signs that the desktop itself is becoming irrelevant.
"The war between cloud and native apps has already been won on the desktop," says Guy Ben-Artzi, CEO of Particle Code, which makes cross-platform tools for mobile-app developers. "When it comes to desktop development, everything is moving to Web technology. If I was really pushing for Linux right now, I would not be focusing on desktop applications." Instead, says Ben-Artzi, Linux proponents should push aggressively for open Web platforms.
Kevin Mahaffey, CTO of mobile security company Lookout, agrees. "Linux can be successful on the desktop if it has a great Web experience," says Mahaffey. "The growth of things like HTML5 will help to give Linux a user experience that's on par with other platforms."
According to all of my sources, if there's any last hope for Linux on the desktop, it's HTML5. As the next-generation Web standard establishes a common set of open media-streaming technologies, it will offer a glimmer of hope to those who want to maintain Linux as their desktop OS, increasing the odds that whatever content or services they want to use will work on their open-source PC. Of course, that's assuming the DRM problems magically disappear.
"In a strange way," says Brightcove's Jeff Whatcott, "iOS may save the Linux desktop indirectly." Brightcove has thrown its resources into developing HTML5 streaming tools, and according to Whatcott, "what's driving that is iOS."
But if Linux ever manages to win equal footing with Windows or Mac OS X in a cloud-centric world, it will likely be a hollow victory, made possible only through the sheer irrelevance of the operating system itself.
Our Mobile Future
"Forget about the desktop," Phil Robb, director of HP's Open Source Programs Office, tells Linux developers. "I think that's not where the effort should be put."
Rather than continue to fight for a tiny sliver of desktop market share, Robb says developers should concentrate on areas where Linux is strong. "Linux is already strong on small, mobile devices. If you're looking for ubiquity and impact on the planet, the Linux community should pat themselves on the back because they've already secured a victory on mobile."
And it looks like Robb is right. Even before Google's Android emerged, LG and other companies had turned to Linux to power the underpinnings of feature phones. Now Android and, to a lesser degree so far, WebOS (which HP recently acquired in its buyout of Palm) are putting Linux at the forefront of smartphone and tablet innovation.
Simultaneously, Linux has emerged as the go-to platform for embedded systems that power Web-enabled HDTVs and set-top boxes ranging from Roku and Google TV to Boxee and a multitude of others. Of course, to the end user, Linux is transparent in these offerings, and the experience is a far cry from what traditional Linux desktop enthusiasts have come to know and love. Notably, these implementations tend to be closed rather than open, showing only a simple set of menus to the end user.
End of the Road?
It has been a long trek since Linus Torvalds wrote the first Linux kernel as a college project in 1992, and the landscape has shifted considerably along the way. Despite grim prospects on the desktop, Linux has clearly asserted itself as a major platform that's here to stay. And of course, passionate open-source proponents will rightly stand by their favorite desktop distributions despite the challenges ahead.
But at this point in history, it's hard to deny the evidence: With stagnant market growth and inadequate content options compounded by industry inertia, Linux basically has no chance to rival Mac OS X, much less Windows.
原文地址:http://www.pcworld.com/businesscenter/article/207999-1/desktop_linux_the_dream_is_dead.html
Despite phenomenal security and stability--and amazing strides in usability, performance, and compatibility--Linux simply isn’t catching on with desktop users. And if there ever was a chance for desktop Linux to succeed, that ship has long since sunk.
Over the past few years, modern Linux distributions such as Ubuntu have utterly transformed the open-source desktop user experience into something sleek and simple, while arguably surpassing Windows and Mac OS in both security and stability. Meanwhile, the public failure of Windows Vista and the rise of the netbook gave Linux some openings to capture a meaningful slice of the market. But those opportunities have been squandered and lost, and Linux desktop market share remains stagnant at around 1 percent.
I should emphasize that I'm not by any means talking about the demise of Linux itself. New projections from the Linux Foundation credibly show that demand for Linux on servers will outstrip demand for all other options over the next few years. And, as I'll discuss at length in this article, Linux has already established itself as a dominant operating system on mobile and embedded devices ranging from tablets and phones to TVs and printers.
But for anyone who has longed for a future in which free, open-source Linux distributions would rival premium commercial operating systems from Microsoft and Apple on desktop PCs, now might be a good time to set more-realistic expectations. Though I personally wish that the opposite were true, the year of the Linux desktop will never come.
Missed Opportunities
A few years ago, I infamously went on record with the belief that the stage had been set for a significant breakthrough in Linux adoption rates. After all, Ubuntu had created a virtually idiot-proof distribution that was as easy to install as Windows or Mac OS X. Hardware driver support had reached critical mass. Even major PC makers such as Dell had stepped up to offer Linux as a preinstalled option on laptops and desktops.
At the same time, consumer sentiment toward Windows Vista had reached such abysmal depths that users were clamoring for other options. And to sweeten the prospects just a bit more, the emergence of netbooks gave Linux a nearly unchallenged new platform to dominate for months on end. If there was ever a time for Linux to rise up, 2008 was that time. But it wasn't meant to be.
Although Asus managed to spark a massive trend with cheap, simple netbook PCs, it opted to ship systems preinstalled with a Xandros distribution that left a lot to be desired. Other vendors moved just as clumsily with a host of bad options that gave Microsoft room to sweep the market by extending the life of Windows XP. In that one gesture, all hope was lost for Linux's netbook revolution. Meanwhile, desktop users who fled Windows Vista mostly just switched to Macs or reverted to Windows XP.
By the time Microsoft released the Windows 7 beta in January 2009, Linux had clearly lost its chance at desktop glory.
Why Linux Failed on the Desktop
The failure of Linux to catch on with mainstream PC users will come as no great surprise to most observers, but the reasons for its failure are often misunderstood or, at the very least, grossly misstated. Linux didn't fail on the desktop because it's "too geeky," "too hard to use," or "too obscure," as casual detractors so often claim in online forums. On the contrary, the best-known distribution--Ubuntu--has received high marks for usability from every major player in the technology press, and it features a menu layout nearly identical to that of Mac OS X.
Ultimately, Linux is doomed on the desktop because of a critical lack of content. And that lack of content owes its existence to two key factors: the fragmentation of the Linux platform, and the fierce ideology of the open-source community at large.
User expectations have shifted dramatically in the past few years, and it's no longer acceptable for any PC to fail at basic media viewing. DVD playback and video streaming from premium sites such as Netflix are now fundamental capabilities that any computer should have. But the politics of the open-source world make that a nearly hopeless dream for Linux.
"I share the hope with everyone that free and open-source software will rise to meet the requirements of content delivery," says longtime Linux developer Jeff Whatcott, senior vice president of marketing for Brightcove, a company that specializes in online video streaming. "But that's not happening."
"DRM is not popular with the open-source crowd," says Whatcott, lamenting that the open-source community at large remains so steadfastly opposed to digital rights management technologies. Without those systems, commercial content providers have no incentive to embrace Linux. And Whatcott points out that even if the open-source community were willing to go along, the DRM arena is dominated by "deep, deep patent pools," making a free, open-source alternative unlikely anyway.
Meanwhile, even common streaming technologies such as Flash--which Whatcott helped bring to Linux in his previous role as a Macromedia (and later Adobe) product manager--deliver poor results on Linux.
"It wasn't for lack of trying," Whatcott says. "At the time, Macromedia put extensive resources into figuring that out." But despite the hard work of a team of engineers "that loved Linux," the fragmentation of the Linux platform and the hurdles presented by what Whatcott describes as "alpha-quality" drivers for audio and video hardware made success elusive for the Flash development team.
We shouldn't be too hard on Linux, though. After all, there are stark signs that the desktop itself is becoming irrelevant.
"The war between cloud and native apps has already been won on the desktop," says Guy Ben-Artzi, CEO of Particle Code, which makes cross-platform tools for mobile-app developers. "When it comes to desktop development, everything is moving to Web technology. If I was really pushing for Linux right now, I would not be focusing on desktop applications." Instead, says Ben-Artzi, Linux proponents should push aggressively for open Web platforms.
Kevin Mahaffey, CTO of mobile security company Lookout, agrees. "Linux can be successful on the desktop if it has a great Web experience," says Mahaffey. "The growth of things like HTML5 will help to give Linux a user experience that's on par with other platforms."
According to all of my sources, if there's any last hope for Linux on the desktop, it's HTML5. As the next-generation Web standard establishes a common set of open media-streaming technologies, it will offer a glimmer of hope to those who want to maintain Linux as their desktop OS, increasing the odds that whatever content or services they want to use will work on their open-source PC. Of course, that's assuming the DRM problems magically disappear.
"In a strange way," says Brightcove's Jeff Whatcott, "iOS may save the Linux desktop indirectly." Brightcove has thrown its resources into developing HTML5 streaming tools, and according to Whatcott, "what's driving that is iOS."
But if Linux ever manages to win equal footing with Windows or Mac OS X in a cloud-centric world, it will likely be a hollow victory, made possible only through the sheer irrelevance of the operating system itself.
Our Mobile Future
"Forget about the desktop," Phil Robb, director of HP's Open Source Programs Office, tells Linux developers. "I think that's not where the effort should be put."
Rather than continue to fight for a tiny sliver of desktop market share, Robb says developers should concentrate on areas where Linux is strong. "Linux is already strong on small, mobile devices. If you're looking for ubiquity and impact on the planet, the Linux community should pat themselves on the back because they've already secured a victory on mobile."
And it looks like Robb is right. Even before Google's Android emerged, LG and other companies had turned to Linux to power the underpinnings of feature phones. Now Android and, to a lesser degree so far, WebOS (which HP recently acquired in its buyout of Palm) are putting Linux at the forefront of smartphone and tablet innovation.
Simultaneously, Linux has emerged as the go-to platform for embedded systems that power Web-enabled HDTVs and set-top boxes ranging from Roku and Google TV to Boxee and a multitude of others. Of course, to the end user, Linux is transparent in these offerings, and the experience is a far cry from what traditional Linux desktop enthusiasts have come to know and love. Notably, these implementations tend to be closed rather than open, showing only a simple set of menus to the end user.
End of the Road?
It has been a long trek since Linus Torvalds wrote the first Linux kernel as a college project in 1992, and the landscape has shifted considerably along the way. Despite grim prospects on the desktop, Linux has clearly asserted itself as a major platform that's here to stay. And of course, passionate open-source proponents will rightly stand by their favorite desktop distributions despite the challenges ahead.
But at this point in history, it's hard to deny the evidence: With stagnant market growth and inadequate content options compounded by industry inertia, Linux basically has no chance to rival Mac OS X, much less Windows.
原文地址:http://www.pcworld.com/businesscenter/article/207999-1/desktop_linux_the_dream_is_dead.html
发表评论
-
Students find creative ways to save
2010-10-28 09:17 1163With limited pocket money in ha ... -
养生之道:每天喝3杯茶可以防止心脏病
2010-10-22 10:37 926Researchers say that drinking j ... -
利用“人体规律法”背单词
2010-10-19 18:46 1187每天背多少单词最合适, 每个单词背几遍最合适, 什么时间背单词 ... -
Chinese fear aging process: Survey
2010-10-11 20:06 1132People in China are among the m ... -
10 differences between Linux and BSD
2010-10-09 09:19 984How often do you hear people lu ... -
China, Japan Take New Jabs at Each Other
2010-09-28 09:05 1061SHANGHAI—A rift between China a ... -
Innovation Works grants flexibility to engineers
2010-09-28 08:30 1282Kai-Fu Lee, former head of Goog ... -
Parents give cash for romance
2010-09-27 08:58 1114Being in a relationship pays i ... -
Fewer students 'will take residential degrees'
2010-09-25 08:56 1101Three-year residential degrees ... -
Beijing weddings’ costs rising
2010-09-16 08:40 1127"The more luxurious the we ... -
Brain to blame for genetic obesity
2010-09-14 09:09 1062An international study has dis ... -
Timeline for success
2010-09-13 08:42 994College freshmen have four yea ... -
How long do you sleep every day?
2010-09-12 09:37 1231原文地址:http://sl.iciba.com/viewth ... -
多数美国人恋旧 宁愿回到过去
2010-09-11 09:14 1019Most Americans think the qualit ... -
UK students set for soaring costs
2010-09-11 08:51 1057Lord Browne, the former head o ... -
Ten ways to get online and get ahead
2010-09-11 08:26 1085Tencent QQ QQ is the most popu ... -
Flowers set to bloom(大运之星:绽放的“校花”)
2010-09-10 08:13 1091WHAT exactly does it take for ...
相关推荐
Oracle Solaris 8 Common Desktop Environment: ICommon Desktop Environment: Style Guide and Certification Checklis-297
ArcGIS Desktop安装:ArcGIS Desktop9_2+XP篇详细图文教程.mht
软件名称 Foxit Reader for Desktop Linux 版权所有 福昕软件(www.fuxinsoftware.com.cn) 更新日期 2009.4.20 软件大小 3.26 MB/3338.24KB 版本 1.0 20090417 操作系统 Desktop Linux 客户端地址...
Oracle Solaris 9 Common Desktop Environment: Desktop KornShell User’s Guide-96
Oracle Solaris 8 Common Desktop Environment: Desktop KornShell User’s Guide-99
描述微软远程桌面协议关于文件系统的部分。
RDP 远程桌面协议:基本连接和图形远程处理 微软官方最新文档2018-9-12最后更新
Windows 7安装ArcGIS DeskTop10:错误1935,安装程序
Oracle Solaris 9 Common Desktop Environment: Internationalization Programmer’s Guide-138
Oracle Solaris 8 Common Desktop Environment: Internationalization Programmer’s Guide-143
Oracle Solaris 8 Common Desktop Environment: ToolTalk Messaging Overview-128
Oracle Solaris 9 Common Desktop Environment: Application Builder User’s Guide-152
Oracle Solaris 8 Common Desktop Environment: Application Builder User’s Guide-161
Oracle Solaris 8 Solaris Common Desktop Environment: Motif Transition Guide-92
适用于Ubuntu的Github desktop安装文件,deb安装。先运行如下:apt install gconf2 libappindicator1 gconf-service...适用于Linux的GitHub desktop各类安装包下载地址:https://github.com/shiftkey/desktop/releases
Oracle Solaris 9 Common Desktop Environment: Product Glossary-104
Oracle Solaris 8 Common Desktop Environment: Product Glossary-121
Oracle Solaris 9 Solaris Common Desktop Environment: Programmer’s Guide-184
Oracle Solaris 8 Solaris Common Desktop Environment: Programmer’s Guide-193
Oracle Solaris 8 Common Desktop Environment: Programmer’s Overview-93